Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Bashi vs William Gomis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height6'0"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warrior Way Martial ArtsTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin BashiNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
William GomisNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
49%
Strike defense
61%
7.81
Takedown avg.
0.86
9%
Takedown accuracy
38%
63%
Takedown defense
72%
1.67
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Austin BashiWilliam Gomis
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
6 (43%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (36%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Bashi51%
William Gomis 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Bashi a 51% favorite over William Gomis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans William Gomis's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1707), separated by just 4 points.

Austin Bashi finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, William Gomis 53%.

William Gomis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.