Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Clayton vs Irakli Kuchukhidze

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record4-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Club Motivator

What's at stake

Austin Clayton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Irakli Kuchukhidze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austin ClaytonNow 1600
If they win+19→ 1619
If they lose-29→ 1571
Irakli KuchukhidzeNow 1533
If they win+29→ 1562
If they lose-19→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin ClaytonIrakli Kuchukhidze
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
2 (40%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Clayton71%
Irakli Kuchukhidze 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Clayton a 71% favorite over Irakli Kuchukhidze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Austin Clayton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1533, a 67-point edge.

Irakli Kuchukhidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austin Clayton finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Irakli Kuchukhidze 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.