Austin Halik vs Connor Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'11"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamThe MMA Academy Liverpool· 1632 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin HalikConnor Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Connor Hughes60%
Austin Halik 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Connor Hughes a 60% favorite over Austin Halik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Halik's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.
Austin Halik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Connor Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Connor Hughes 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.