Austin Hubbard vs Mike Breeden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record11-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardMike Breeden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard55%
Mike Breeden 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 55% favorite over Mike Breeden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Mike Breeden 82%.
Austin Hubbard and Mike Breeden share 1 common opponent: Alexander Hernandez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.