Austin Hubbard vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record29-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Austin Hubbard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-7→ 1597
If they win+7→ 1762
If they lose-17→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu80%
Austin Hubbard 20%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 80% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1604, a 151-point edge.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.