Austin Hubbard vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record28-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Austin Hubbard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-8→ 1596
If they win+8→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu87%
Austin Hubbard 13%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 87% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1604, a 136-point edge.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rongzhu enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.