Austin Hubbard vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Vinc Pichel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Austin Hubbard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-10→ 1594
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-18→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard59%
Vinc Pichel 41%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 59% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinc Pichel's way (43%).
Vinc Pichel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1604, a 47-point edge.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.