Austin Lingo vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Nate Landwehr is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Austin Lingo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1542
If they lose-15→ 1494
If they win+10→ 1658
If they lose-22→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin LingoNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Landwehr64%
Austin Lingo 36%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 64% favorite over Austin Lingo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Nate Landwehr holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1509, a 139-point edge.
Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.