Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Lingo vs Nate Landwehr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Lingo
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Austin Lingo

“Lights Out”

9-4-0FeatherweightFFC

1508Average

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Nate Landwehr is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Austin Lingo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austin LingoNow 1508
If they win+33→ 1541
If they lose-15→ 1493
Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+10→ 1650
If they lose-22→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
5.63
38%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.76
67%
Takedown accuracy
42%
76%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Austin LingoNate Landwehr
1500155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (44%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Landwehr60%
Austin Lingo 40%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 60% favorite over Austin Lingo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Nate Landwehr holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1508, a 132-point edge.

Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.