Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Miller vs Jonathan Hanes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'10"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
ES MMA and FitnessTeamFitness Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin MillerNow 1544
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
Jonathan HanesNow 1543
If they win+16→ 1559
If they lose-16→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Austin MillerJonathan Hanes
1450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Miller51%
Jonathan Hanes 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Miller a 51% favorite over Jonathan Hanes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1543), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Hanes 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.