Austin Miller vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ES MMA and FitnessTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin MillerRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Miller60%
Rousimar Palhares 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Miller a 60% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rousimar Palhares's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1545), separated by just 1 points.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.