Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Miller vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'11"
-Reach69"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
ES MMA and FitnessTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin MillerNow 1544
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Austin MillerRustam Serbiev
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Serbiev56%
Austin Miller 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 56% favorite over Austin Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Miller's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1540), separated by just 4 points.

Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.