Austin Ross vs Bartosz Szewczyk
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Bartosz Szewczyk60%
Austin Ross 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bartosz Szewczyk a 60% favorite over Austin Ross in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Ross's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.
Austin Ross enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Austin Ross finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Bartosz Szewczyk 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record9-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight206 lbs
WNY MMA & FitnessTeamWCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin RossBartosz Szewczyk