Austin Ross vs Bruno Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
WNY MMA & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Austin Ross is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Bruno Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1602
If they lose-26→ 1554
If they win+17→ 1572
If they lose-15→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin RossBruno Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Ross66%
Bruno Oliveira 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Ross a 66% favorite over Bruno Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Austin Ross holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1555, a 25-point edge.
Austin Ross enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bruno Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Ross finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Oliveira 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.