Axel Alfandari vs Tomáš Galko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Tomáš Galko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Axel Alfandari carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1523
If they lose-22→ 1475
If they win+22→ 1555
If they lose-26→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel AlfandariTomáš Galko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Galko57%
Axel Alfandari 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Galko a 57% favorite over Axel Alfandari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Tomáš Galko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1533 to 1497, a 36-point edge.
Tomáš Galko enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.