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Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Alfandari vs Tomáš Galko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Axel Alfandari is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Tomáš Galko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Axel AlfandariNow 1531
If they win+22→ 1553
If they lose-26→ 1505
Tomáš GalkoNow 1502
If they win+26→ 1528
If they lose-22→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Axel AlfandariTomáš Galko
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Axel Alfandari63%
Tomáš Galko 37%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Axel Alfandari a 63% favorite over Tomáš Galko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Axel Alfandari holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1502, a 29-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.