Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Dakota Bush

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-1Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThe Smith Pit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Axel SolaNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Dakota BushNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
50%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
62%
Strike defense
42%
1.89
Takedown avg.
2.40
9%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Axel SolaDakota Bush
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
2 (17%)
Submission
6 (35%)
4 (33%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Dakota Bush66%
Axel Sola 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 66% favorite over Axel Sola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.

Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Axel Sola finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Bush 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.