Axel Sola vs Fares Ziam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-1Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach75″
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Axel Sola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Fares Ziam carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1741
If they lose-18→ 1709
If they win+18→ 1709
If they lose-14→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel SolaFares Ziam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Axel Sola54%
Fares Ziam 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Axel Sola a 54% favorite over Fares Ziam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Axel Sola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1691, a 36-point edge.
Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Fares Ziam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Axel Sola finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Fares Ziam 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.