Axel Sola vs Rhys McKee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-1Record15-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach78"
154 lbsWeight170 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNext Generation Northern Ireland
What's at stake
Axel Sola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Rhys McKee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-20→ 1707
If they win+20→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel SolaRhys McKee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Axel Sola57%
Rhys McKee 43%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Axel Sola a 57% favorite over Rhys McKee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Axel Sola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1647, a 80-point edge.
Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Axel Sola finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.
Rhys McKee carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.