Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Rhys McKee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rhys McKee
ie

Rhys McKee

“Skeletor”

15-7-1WelterweightPFL

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

11-1-1Record15-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach78"
154 lbsWeight170 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamNext Generation Northern Ireland

What's at stake

Axel Sola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rhys McKee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Axel SolaNow 1687
If they win+14→ 1701
If they lose-18→ 1669
Rhys McKeeNow 1648
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.15
61%
Strike defense
47%
2.22
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Axel SolaRhys McKee
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Axel Sola and Rhys McKee within a point of even.

Axel Sola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1648, a 39-point edge.

Axel Sola finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.

Rhys McKee carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.