Ayaka Miura vs Brianna Fortino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record9-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height4'11"
64.2"Reach62,0"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayaka MiuraBrianna Fortino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brianna Fortino60%
Ayaka Miura 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brianna Fortino a 60% favorite over Ayaka Miura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ayaka Miura's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.
Ayaka Miura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Brianna Fortino 56%.
Ayaka Miura carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.