Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Karol Ryšavý

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record15-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1656 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Karol RyšavýNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeKarol Ryšavý
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
3 (20%)
Submission
6 (40%)
9 (60%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Ryšavý67%
Ayton De Paepe 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Ryšavý a 67% favorite over Ayton De Paepe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ayton De Paepe's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Karol Ryšavý 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.