Ayton De Paepe vs Kron Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record5-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayton De PaepeKron Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayton De Paepe62%
Kron Gracie 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayton De Paepe a 62% favorite over Kron Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kron Gracie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.
Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kron Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Kron Gracie 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.