Ayumu Yamamoto vs Connor Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayumu YamamotoConnor Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayumu Yamamoto57%
Connor Matthews 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayumu Yamamoto a 57% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1561), separated by just 3 points.
Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ayumu Yamamoto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Connor Matthews 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.