Ayumu Yamamoto vs Gegam Manavazyan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ayumu Yamamoto56%
Gegam Manavazyan 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayumu Yamamoto a 56% favorite over Gegam Manavazyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.
Gegam Manavazyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ayumu Yamamoto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gegam Manavazyan 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayumu YamamotoGegam Manavazyan