Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Bekoev vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
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Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

Azamat Bekoev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ryan Loder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat BekoevNow 1689
If they win+9→ 1698
If they lose-15→ 1674
Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+20→ 1610
If they lose-12→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
46%
Strike accuracy
71%
7.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
32%
Strike defense
50%
4.49
Takedown avg.
1.57
45%
Takedown accuracy
14%
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Azamat BekoevRyan Loder
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
8 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (20%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Bekoev73%
Ryan Loder 27%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Bekoev a 73% favorite over Ryan Loder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Azamat Bekoev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1590, a 99-point edge.

Azamat Bekoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Azamat Bekoev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Ryan Loder carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.