Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'5"
72"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Azamat Bekoev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Yousri Belgaroui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat BekoevNow 1689
If they win+10→ 1699
If they lose-14→ 1675
Yousri BelgarouiNow 1645
If they win+18→ 1663
If they lose-14→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
5.82
46%
Strike accuracy
66%
7.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.52
32%
Strike defense
61%
4.49
Takedown avg.
0.39
45%
Takedown accuracy
100%
80%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Azamat BekoevYousri Belgaroui
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
8 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Bekoev62%
Yousri Belgaroui 38%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Bekoev a 62% favorite over Yousri Belgaroui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Azamat Bekoev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1645, a 44-point edge.

Azamat Bekoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Azamat Bekoev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 80%.

Yousri Belgaroui carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.