Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Murzakanov vs Dustin Jacoby

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
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Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-9-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record22-9-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
71"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Azamat Murzakanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Dustin Jacoby carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat MurzakanovNow 1779
If they win+13→ 1792
If they lose-19→ 1760
Dustin JacobyNow 1711
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-10→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.70
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
58%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
61%
Strike defense
58%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.32
15%
Takedown accuracy
25%
88%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Azamat MurzakanovDustin Jacoby
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (75%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (19%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Murzakanov71%
Dustin Jacoby 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Murzakanov a 71% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Azamat Murzakanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1711, a 68-point edge.

Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Azamat Murzakanov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.

Azamat Murzakanov and Dustin Jacoby share 1 common opponent: Alonzo Menifield.

Dustin Jacoby carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Alonzo Menifield
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023