Combat Edge Intelligence

Azat Maksum vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamEagles MMA

What's at stake

Tagir Ulanbekov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Azat Maksum carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azat MaksumNow 1664
If they win+19→ 1683
If they lose-13→ 1651
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+13→ 1753
If they lose-19→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
29%
Strike accuracy
49%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.33
Takedown avg.
2.94
28%
Takedown accuracy
39%
86%
Takedown defense
62%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Azat MaksumTagir Ulanbekov
16501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
6 (40%)
Submission
8 (47%)
5 (33%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tagir Ulanbekov71%
Azat Maksum 29%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Ulanbekov a 71% favorite over Azat Maksum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Tagir Ulanbekov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1664, a 76-point edge.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.