Babar Ali vs Kentaro Okumura
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kentaro Okumura57%
Babar Ali 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Kentaro Okumura a 57% favorite over Babar Ali in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Babar Ali's way (46%).
Babar Ali holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1590 to 1560, a 30-point edge.
Babar Ali finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kentaro Okumura 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Babar Ali is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kentaro Okumura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1605
If they lose-17→ 1573
If they win+26→ 1586
If they lose-22→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Babar AliKentaro Okumura