Badreddine Diani vs David Samuel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
David Samuel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Badreddine Diani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1628
If they win+23→ 1681
If they lose-25→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Badreddine DianiDavid Samuel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Samuel57%
Badreddine Diani 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes David Samuel a 57% favorite over Badreddine Diani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
David Samuel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1643, a 15-point edge.
Badreddine Diani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
David Samuel enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Badreddine Diani finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, David Samuel 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.