Combat Edge Intelligence

Baergeng Jieleyisi vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
70"Reach64"
136 lbsWeight126 lbs
Wanshi Fight GymTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baergeng JieleyisiNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
48%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
47%
Strike defense
58%
1.90
Takedown avg.
0.67
71%
Takedown accuracy
16%
80%
Takedown defense
59%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Baergeng JieleyisiLuis Gurule
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
10 (56%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (22%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Gurule51%
Baergeng Jieleyisi 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 51% favorite over Baergeng Jieleyisi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Baergeng Jieleyisi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Baergeng Jieleyisi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Baergeng Jieleyisi finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Baergeng Jieleyisi carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.