Bagama Nikabagamaev vs Elbek Alyshov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach69"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bagama NikabagamaevElbek Alyshov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bagama Nikabagamaev57%
Elbek Alyshov 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bagama Nikabagamaev a 57% favorite over Elbek Alyshov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1717), separated by just 0 points.
Bagama Nikabagamaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elbek Alyshov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Bagama Nikabagamaev finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Elbek Alyshov 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.