Bagdos Olzhabay vs Matheus Camilo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68.9"Reach 69"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Almaty Fight AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bagdos OlzhabayMatheus Camilo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Camilo53%
Bagdos Olzhabay 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 53% favorite over Bagdos Olzhabay in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bagdos Olzhabay's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.
Bagdos Olzhabay enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bagdos Olzhabay finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.