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Combat Edge Intelligence

Baris Adiguzel vs Liam Gittins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Liam Gittins
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Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record13-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

Baris Adiguzel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Liam Gittins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Baris AdiguzelNow 1667
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-19→ 1648
Liam GittinsNow 1612
If they win+19→ 1631
If they lose-13→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Baris AdiguzelLiam Gittins
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
1 (10%)
Submission
3 (23%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Baris Adiguzel67%
Liam Gittins 33%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Baris Adiguzel a 67% favorite over Liam Gittins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Baris Adiguzel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1612, a 55-point edge.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Baris Adiguzel finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Liam Gittins 77%.

Baris Adiguzel carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.