Baris Adiguzel vs Liam Gittins

Dec 19, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast55%Baris Adiguzel45%Liam GittinsFull forecast and your pick

DateDec 19, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLDLC Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Baris AdiguzelThe Sniper |10-2-0Baris Adiguzel vs Liam GittinsLiam GittinsNightmare |13-6-0

Baris AdiguzelThe Sniper10-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

10-2-0Record13-6-0

TBDAgeTBD

5'7"Height5'7"

71"Reach65"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Liam GittinsNightmare13-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Baris Adiguzel owns a 55-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Baris Adiguzel and Liam Gittins across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Baris AdiguzelLiam Gittins

Recent form

Baris AdiguzelL W W W W · +55 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Liam GittinsL L W W W · +14 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Baris Adiguzel1667-20 last move

Liam Gittins1612-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Baris Adiguzel#100 of 319 active Bantamweight fighters · 1667 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Bertinazzi (rated 1500 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Luca Borando (rated 1551 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +55 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #99 Pedro Munhoz, 0 ahead of #101 Long Xiao.

Liam Gittins#184 of 319 active Bantamweight fighters · 1612 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Roberto Hernandez (rated 1565 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Gerardo Fanny (rated 1484 at the time): -39.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +14 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #183 Davi Brandão, 2 ahead of #185 Aleksandre Topuria.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

55%Baris Adiguzel45%Liam Gittins

Model favoriteBaris Adiguzel

Elo baseline58% for Baris Adiguzel

Matchup adjustment-3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Baris AdiguzelStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Baris Adiguzel leads the full model at 55%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1667 · 1612Baris Adiguzel leads by 55 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1539 · 1542Liam Gittins faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 19 fightsLiam Gittins has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Baris AdiguzelNow 1667 · #100 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1680

Loses by decision-19→ 1648

Liam GittinsNow 1612 · #184 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1631

Loses by decision-13→ 1599

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Baris AdiguzelvsLiam Gittins

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Baris AdiguzelKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Liam GittinsKO/TKO leads 54% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Baris AdiguzelLiam Gittins

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

8Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission3

1Wins by decision3

1Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision4

Baris Adiguzel vs Liam Gittins is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on PFL LYON : LAPILUS VS MCKEE. Baris Adiguzel enters with a 10-2-0 record and Liam Gittins enters with a 13-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.