Bartosz Szewczyk vs Sergiusz Zając
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sergiusz Zając64%
Bartosz Szewczyk 36%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergiusz Zając a 64% favorite over Bartosz Szewczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Sergiusz Zając holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1580, a 100-point edge.
Bartosz Szewczyk finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Sergiusz Zając 90%.
Bartosz Szewczyk and Sergiusz Zając share 1 common opponent: Damian Piwowarczyk.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-5-1Record10-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
206 lbsWeight206 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamSpartakus Rzeszow
What's at stake
Sergiusz Zając is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bartosz Szewczyk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1568
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-20→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bartosz SzewczykSergiusz Zając