Combat Edge Intelligence

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Thales Leites

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baisangur SusurkaevNow 1743
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727
Thales LeitesNow 1744
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
59%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
53%
Strike defense
53%
2.76
Takedown avg.
2.10
29%
Takedown accuracy
27%
100%
Takedown defense
31%
0.69
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Baisangur SusurkaevThales Leites
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
2 (17%)
Submission
15 (54%)
1 (8%)
Decision
9 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Baisangur Susurkaev71%
Thales Leites 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Baisangur Susurkaev a 71% favorite over Thales Leites in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thales Leites's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1744), separated by just 1 points.

Baisangur Susurkaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Baisangur Susurkaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.