Bia Mesquita vs Irina Alekseeva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record5-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'8"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Bia Mesquita is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Irina Alekseeva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-34→ 1657
If they win+34→ 1563
If they lose-14→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bia MesquitaIrina Alekseeva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bia Mesquita79%
Irina Alekseeva 21%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Bia Mesquita a 79% favorite over Irina Alekseeva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Bia Mesquita holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1529, a 162-point edge.
Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bia Mesquita finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Irina Alekseeva 60%.
Bia Mesquita and Irina Alekseeva share 1 common opponent: Melissa Mullins.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.