Combat Edge Intelligence

Bia Mesquita vs Luana Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'6"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
American Top TeamTeam011 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bia MesquitaNow 1690
If they win+24→ 1714
If they lose-24→ 1666
Luana SantosNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.99
60%
Strike accuracy
53%
0.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
81%
Strike defense
64%
4.81
Takedown avg.
2.17
75%
Takedown accuracy
47%
0%
Takedown defense
86%
3.21
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Bia MesquitaLuana Santos
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
6 (86%)
Submission
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Luana Santos59%
Bia Mesquita 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luana Santos a 59% favorite over Bia Mesquita in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.

Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bia Mesquita finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luana Santos 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.