Bia Mesquita vs Montserrat Rendon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'8"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamECR Fight Center
What's at stake
Bia Mesquita is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Montserrat Rendon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1707
If they lose-31→ 1659
If they win+31→ 1622
If they lose-17→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bia MesquitaMontserrat Rendon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bia Mesquita87%
Montserrat Rendon 13%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Bia Mesquita a 87% favorite over Montserrat Rendon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Bia Mesquita holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1591, a 99-point edge.
Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Bia Mesquita finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Montserrat Rendon 0%.
Montserrat Rendon carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.