Combat Edge Intelligence

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu vs Carlos Candelario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
-Reach68"
125 lbsWeight129 lbs
KatranTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bektur Zhenishbek UuluNow 1615
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Carlos CandelarioNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.17
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.28
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Bektur Zhenishbek UuluCarlos Candelario
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (40%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu56%
Carlos Candelario 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu a 56% favorite over Carlos Candelario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Carlos Candelario enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Candelario 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.