Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record18-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Triumph FightsTeamInside Muay Thai· 1671 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Jean Matsumoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bekzat Almakhan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+12→ 1768
If they lose-20→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bekzat AlmakhanJean Matsumoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Matsumoto72%
Bekzat Almakhan 28%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 72% favorite over Bekzat Almakhan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jean Matsumoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1664, a 92-point edge.
Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jean Matsumoto 50%.
Bekzat Almakhan and Jean Matsumoto share 1 common opponent: Brad Katona.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.