Belal Muhammad vs Jordan Mein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72''Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamCanadian Martial Arts Centre
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jordan Mein carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1812
If they lose-17→ 1788
If they win+17→ 1682
If they lose-7→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadJordan Mein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad79%
Jordan Mein 21%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 79% favorite over Jordan Mein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1665, a 140-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Mein 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.