Ben Earwood vs Luis Francischinelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'5"
TBDReach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamCalifornia MMA
What's at stake
Luis Francischinelli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ben Earwood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600
If they win+22→ 1669
If they lose-26→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben EarwoodLuis Francischinelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Francischinelli67%
Ben Earwood 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Francischinelli a 67% favorite over Ben Earwood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Luis Francischinelli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1614, a 33-point edge.
Luis Francischinelli enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ben Earwood finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Luis Francischinelli 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.