Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Oluwale Bamgbose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record6-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
75"Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamChute Boxe USA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Oluwale BamgboseNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonOluwale Bamgbose
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
4 (80%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston66%
Oluwale Bamgbose 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 66% favorite over Oluwale Bamgbose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1566), separated by just 3 points.

Oluwale Bamgbose enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oluwale Bamgbose 100%.

Oluwale Bamgbose carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.