Ben Johnston vs Wes Schultz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Wes Schultz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ben Johnston carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1595
If they lose-22→ 1547
If they win+14→ 1617
If they lose-18→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben JohnstonWes Schultz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Schultz60%
Ben Johnston 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 60% favorite over Ben Johnston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Wes Schultz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1569, a 34-point edge.
Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.
Wes Schultz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.