Ben Nguyen vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65,0"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Integrated MMATeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ben Nguyen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1627
If they lose-11→ 1603
If they win+11→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben NguyenTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Elliott59%
Ben Nguyen 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 59% favorite over Ben Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1614, a 31-point edge.
Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ben Nguyen finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.
Ben Nguyen and Tim Elliott share 1 common opponent: Ryan Benoit.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.