Ben Saunders vs Matt Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-2Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
45,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1652
If they win+14→ 1621
If they lose-10→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben SaundersMatt Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Saunders63%
Matt Brown 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 63% favorite over Matt Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1607, a 59-point edge.
Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.
Ben Saunders and Matt Brown share 1 common opponent: Court McGee.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.