Ben Saunders vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-2Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'1"
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ben Saunders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1679
If they lose-11→ 1655
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben SaundersMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Saunders60%
Mike Swick 40%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 60% favorite over Mike Swick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Swick's way (45%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1666, a 32-point edge.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Ben Saunders and Mike Swick share 1 common opponent: Matt Brown.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.