Ben Woolliss vs Masachika Takahashi
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Masachika Takahashi64%
Ben Woolliss 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Masachika Takahashi a 64% favorite over Ben Woolliss in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.
Ben Woolliss enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Masachika Takahashi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Masachika Takahashi 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
145 LBSWeight146 lbs
Basement Martial ArtsTeamBrave· 1594 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1466 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben WoollissMasachika Takahashi