Combat Edge Intelligence

Benardo Sopaj vs Marcus McGhee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1680 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Marcus McGhee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Benardo Sopaj carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Benardo SopajNow 1682
If they win+17→ 1699
If they lose-15→ 1667
Marcus McGheeNow 1704
If they win+15→ 1719
If they lose-17→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
5.44
58%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
53%
Strike defense
56%
2.43
Takedown avg.
0.24
30%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
90%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Benardo SopajMarcus McGhee
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Benardo Sopaj54%
Marcus McGhee 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Benardo Sopaj a 54% favorite over Marcus McGhee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcus McGhee's way (47%).

Marcus McGhee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1682, a 22-point edge.

Benardo Sopaj enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Benardo Sopaj finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 82%.

Marcus McGhee carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.