Marcus McGhee vs Benardo Sopaj

DateOct 3, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueDelta Center

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 3, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Marcus McGheeThe Maniac |11-2-0Marcus McGhee vs Benardo SopajBenardo SopajThe Lion King |14-3-0

Marcus McGheeThe Maniac11-2-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

11-2-0Record14-3-0

36Age25

5'8"Height5'6"

69"Reach66"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Benardo SopajThe Lion King14-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marcus McGhee owns a 22-point Elo edge (good). Benardo Sopaj shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Marcus McGhee and Benardo Sopaj across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Marcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj

Recent form

Marcus McGheeW L W W W · +66 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Benardo SopajW W L W W · +38 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Marcus McGhee1704+13 last move

Benardo Sopaj1682+20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

46%Marcus McGhee54%Benardo Sopaj

Model favoriteBenardo Sopaj

Elo baseline47% for Benardo Sopaj

Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Benardo SopajStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Benardo Sopaj is 54%, after Elo alone favored Marcus McGhee at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1704 · 1682Marcus McGhee leads by 22 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1590 · 1573Marcus McGhee faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 16 fightsBenardo Sopaj has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesMarcus McGhee 0 · 4 Benardo SopajStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Benardo Sopaj.

Stat advantages

Marcus McGheevsBenardo Sopaj

Takedown accuracy

0%vs30%

Takedown average

0.24vs2.43

Submission average

0.24vs0.81

Sig. strike accuracy

44%vs58%

Finishing profile

Marcus McGheeKO/TKO leads 73% of wins

Benardo SopajKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Marcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.44Sig. strikes landed per min4.39

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

44Sig. strike accuracy58

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

3.64Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.69

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

56Sig. strike defense53

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

0.24Takedown average2.43

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

0Takedown accuracy30

UFC bantamweight average : 29%

90Takedown defense77

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.24Submission average0.81

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

8Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission4

2Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision2

Marcus McGhee vs Benardo Sopaj is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UFC 332 : SILVA VS WANG. Marcus McGhee enters with a 11-2-0 record and Benardo Sopaj enters with a 14-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.